Stay Informed

Sign up to receive the Middle East Bulletin!

Support Middle East Progress

In-Depth Coverage

Original Commentaries

07/02/09
The U.S. Pullout from Iraqi Cities  —
06/25/09
Understanding the Situation in Iran  —Geneive Abdo, fellow, The Century Foundation; former Iran correspondent, The Guardian (1998-2001)
06/23/09
Solving the Problem of the Old City  —Michael Bell, former Canadian ambassador to Egypt, Israel and Jordan; co-director, Jerusalem Old City Initiative, University of Windsor. Interview with Middle East Bulletin.

Setting the Record Straight

Potential Partner for Regional Stability

“As long as the current radical regime is in power in Damascus, there won’t be any negotiated peace even of the most superficial variety because the conflict is indispensible to the Syrian dictatorship. And the most probably type of change in Syria—though its likelihood is still low—to a radical Islamist regime would make any such peace even less likely.”
—Barry Rubin, director, Global Research in International Affairs Center, IDC Herzliya, “Peace on the Borderline,” The Rubin Report, May 31, 2009versus
  • “The al-Asad regime in Syria continues to play the dangerous game of allowing or accepting extremist networks and terrorist facilitators to operate from and through Syrian territory. ... However, unlike Iran, Syria’s motives probably stem from short-sighted calculations rather than ideology. It is possible that over time Syria could emerge as a partner in promoting security in the Levant and in the region.”
    —General David Petraeus, commander, U.S. Central Command, testimony to the House Armed Services Committee, “The Afghanistan-Pakistan Strategic Review and the Posture of U.S. Central Command,” April 2, 2009
  • Middle East Analysis

    Upcoming Events

    WATCH: Prospects for a Two-State Solution: Understanding Challenges and Creating Opportunities

    Featured panelists:

    Brigadier General (Ret.) Ilan Paz, former head of the Israeli Civil Administration in the West Bank (2002-2005)
    Ghaith al-Omari, advocacy director, American Task Force on Palestine; advisor, Middle East Progress; former advisor to Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas

    Discussion moderated by:

    Brian Katulis, Senior Fellow, Center for American Progress, advisor, Middle East Progress

    When: Friday, March 20, 2009
    Program: 9:00am to 10:30am

    WATCH HERE

    The Rabin Vision: Maybe This is the Way Out

    Nabil Al-Khatib, Executive Editor of Al Arabiya, based in Dubai; Palestinian journalist from Ramallah

    Twelve years have passed since the bullets fired by Yigal Amir managed to assassinate the Prime Minister of Israel, Yitzchak Rabin. A new reality has set in and we realize today that Amir’s bullets succeeded in killing, not only Rabin, but his vision as well.

    People close to the late leader of Israel, and those Palestinians who used to sit on the opposite side of the table negotiating with him, always talked about his determination to end the conflict based on the “two-state solution.”

    However, since then, Amir’s voice has remained the loudest, just like the loudness of his fatal bullets while the voices demanding peace have remained low.

    Supporters of peace continue whispering in each other’s ears in workshops, using theoretical methods to try to reach a possible solution – on paper - for a far too complicated situation.

    The paradox is that all current and former politicians share a common consensus that they keep repeating behind closed door: “The solution is known…the question is how to implement it?”

    The solution Rabin paid his life for …, The solution President Clinton proposed to the parties when it was too late … The solution Taba negotiators worked on, and were too late… The solution the Arab Initiative proposed five years ago … The solution that President Bush highlighted more than five years ago …

    The solution is there but no one is willing to be a leader and fight for its implementation, not only in the region, but among the international community as well.

    Consequently, the concerned parties and mediators are still in a prison of the same old tragedy, with the U.S. escalating its efforts in the last months of the president’s term, and the negotiating parties in Jerusalem discussing the problem of controlling ten fighters in Nablus, as a prerequisite for negotiating a final agreement to end the conflict!!!

    The problem, nowadays, is that all the efforts of the U.S. administration and the Middle East quartet and the Arab quartet to work along with the concerned parties to find a solution are starting from point zero. The concerned parties are like merchants trying to win a bargain in an ancient bazaar, with each side trying to give the other what it was forced to give and not what might make both of them winners.;It seems that both sides keep missing the big picture by concentrating on the details and forgetting the final goal

    Thus, what if Dr. Condoleezza Rice came to the Palestinians and Israelis and presented President Clinton’s ideas/parameters announced January 8, 2001, and asked both to deal with them as the starting point for talks?

    What if she asked Mr. Olmert and Mr. Abbas what their objections are on those ideas in order to try and work on closing the gap, while judging both parties based on the “Bush Vision”?

    The fact that she did not, and the fact that President George W. Bush, just like President Bill Clinton, did not push for a solution until the last few months of his presidency might lead to the same result. And we will probably hear a speech by President Bush on January 8, 2008, repeating the same old story.

    The scenarios for the future, if no solution will be implemented soon, are predictable.

    Neither the Palestinians nor the Israelis will enjoy the kind of state that each of them has been dreaming about. Probably, the "Historical Palestine" will fall into a long painful "apartheid-like" situation for "practical reasons".

    I do not think that late Yitzhak Rabin was ready to compromise by establishing a viable Palestinian state out of love to the Palestinians, but rather, because he realized the necessity of it and that the destiny of the Jewish state was at stake.

    Sadly, Rabin paid with his life for trying to implement his vision.Meanwhile, Yigal Amir and all those who see only conflict and bloodshed as the solution are applauding themselves for their success and for the failure of the supporters of peace.

    Hence, my advice, for all those concerned, is to try to build on what was achieved.

    Starting from the beginning will only keep things permanently at the beginning.