April 30, 2008

Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak and Syrian President Bashar Assad (AP)

Reports that Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has sought to mediate between Israel and Syria demonstrate his government’s potential as a troubleshooter in the perennially unstable Middle East. … The possibilities opened up by Turkey’s emerging new status should not be lost on Lebanese politicians—starting with Speaker Nabih Berri and Prime Minister Fouad Siniora. No mediator has yet been identified that has been able to win the trust of both sides in Lebanon’s internal power struggle, and nor has any come forward with the capacity to play a similar role in correcting Beirut’s complicated relationship with Damascus.

The Turks might be burdened with some baggage collected during 400 years of Ottoman rule in this part of the world, but that era is ancient history. … Even on this score, Ankara might be uniquely qualified by dint of its acceptability to key players all around. From Washington and Tehran to Paris and Damascus, Turkey is widely regarded as a friend and ally. Each of these might actually see its own influence diminished by a successful Turkish intervention in Lebanon, but none would face any longer the prospect of being shut out altogether.

The Turks have an interest in Lebanon, but it is one shared by all Lebanese rather than a particular party or sect: They want stability in this country so that it and the rest of the region can be more reliable partners as Turkey carries out the social, economic and legal transformations required to qualify for accession to the European Union—and fuller membership in the 21st century. Many of the changes in question are very similar, incidentally, to those that Lebanon and other countries in the Islamic world need to make. Access the full article>>



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In-Depth Coverage

Original Commentaries

08/20/10
Center for American Progress Welcomes Resumption of Direct Talks  —
08/10/10
A View from the Ground  —Darbaz Kosrat Rasul, chair, Rebaz Foundation. Interview with Middle East Bulletin.
08/03/10
U.S.-Turkish Relations  —Ambassador Francis J. Ricciardone, Jr., recently returned deputy ambassador in Afghanistan; former ambassador to Egypt (2005-2008); and deputy chief of mission and charge d'affaires in U.S. embassy in Turkey (1995-1999). Congressional Testimony.

Setting the Record Straight

Eye Still on the Ball

“Adverse developments in Iraq will be (and will look to be) increasingly a function of the Obama Team taking their eye off of the ball and rushing to declare mission accomplished. Yes, in such a scenario the Iraqis should bear most of the blame, but the part that is due to U.S. action or inaction will be Obama's responsibility. And it will matter. Iraq is at the center of a region that every president since Jimmy Carter has identified as vital to our national security. Iraq is next door to, and the playground for mischief from, the most thorny national security challenge the United States faces: a nuclear-weapons-seeking Iranian regime. These inconvenient facts mean that if the Iraqi situation demands more focused and costly U.S. attention, it will likely get it. At that point, what sort of domestic coalition will be available for President Obama's Iraq policy?”
—Peter Feaver, director, Triangle Institute for Security Studies; former director for defense policy and arms control, National Security Council, “Obama’s Iraq Speech: Another Missed Opportunity,” Foreign Policy, August 3, 2010versus
  • “Iraq is a strategically important place in the Middle East, just by its geographic location, by its population, by the influence it's had in the Middle East for a long time. So neighboring countries from around the Middle East have an interest inside of Iraq.

    “But I will tell you that I think Iraqis themselves are nationalistic in nature, and that's why it's important. A strong Iraq will defend itself against interference from outside countries, and I think as we build a strong Iraq and as we continue to build a strong security mechanism and as we continue to help them economically and diplomatically, that will make it less likely of others from the outside being able to interfere.

    “Now, for the vacuum as we see today, again, I remind everyone is that we still have a significant presence here, and we are not going to—we will not allow undue maligned influence on the Iraqi government as they attempt to form their government. What we're trying to do is provide them the space and time for them to do that, and we will continue to do that post 1 September. We'll still have a significant civilian presence, and again, we'll still have 50,000 troops on the ground here to ensure that this government can be formed by the Iraqis. And that all the other nations respect their sovereignty as they go about forming their government.”
    —General Ray Odierno, commander of U.S. forces in Iraq, interview, “This Week” with Christiane Amanpour, August 8, 2010
  • Middle East Analysis

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