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In-Depth Coverage

Original Commentaries

07/08/08
Planning the Transition  —Ghaith al-Omari, director of advocacy, American Task Force on Palestine; former foreign policy adviser to Palestinian President Abbas. Original Commentary for Middle East Bulletin.
07/07/08
Moving Forward in Lebanon After Doha: Bridging Deep Divides  —Mona Yacoubian, director of the Lebanon Working Group, U.S. Institute of Peace. Original Commentary for Middle East Bulletin.
06/27/08
Dealing with the Challenge of Prisoners  —Brigadier General (Ret.) Ilan Paz, former head of the Israeli Civil Administration in the West Bank (2002-2005). Interview with Middle East Bulletin.

Setting the Record Straight

Israeli-Syrian Peace Could Alter Regional Dynamic

“I think [the Israelis] are making a mistake trying to negotiate with Syria now, because I don’t think Syria has any independent ability to make decisions. Over the past several years, Syria has become functionally a satellite of Iran, so that if the Israelis really wanted to negotiate with somebody, they ought to be in Tehran, not in Damascus. … I think it will be seen as a mistake in their domestic politics, and it certainly wouldn’t fit my cost-benefit analysis of a fruitful place to have discussions.”
—John Bolton, senior fellow, American Enterprise Institute & former U.S. ambassador to the UN, interview with NationalJournal.com, May 23, 2008 versus
  • "An Israeli-Syrian peace would be based on interests … The first thing the Syrians want is the Golan [Heights], but they want other things too. … Syria wants to be defined differently than Iran and come back to the center of the international system. In terms of Israeli interests, I think the first thing would be no all-out warfare. … In addition, an agreement with Syria would include the larger Arab world and not the Assad government alone. Such an agreement would also undermine Hezbollah, Hamas and extreme Islamist movements. … The United States is needed for addressing the Syrian interests, beyond the Golan, including removal of Syria from the ‘axis of evil’ and economic incentives.”
    —Major General (Ret.) Danny Rothschild, former IDF coordinator of activities in the Palestinian territories (1991-95) & president, Israeli Council for Peace and Security, event ,"Peace with Syria," July 14, 2008 (translated by Middle East Bulletin)
  • Middle East Analysis

    January 30, 2008

    On January 10, Israeli Prime Minister Olmert and PA President Abbas agreed to begin negotiations on a "three-level" model. Under this structure, Israeli Foreign minister Tzipi Livni and former Palestinian Prime Minister Ahmed Qureia will discuss the core issues directly, and their negotiating teams will then discuss the issues in detail. Olmert and Abbas will intervene to mediate any differences.

    Progress on Negotiations
    On January 14, Livni and Qureia began negotiations that will take place about once weekly under low media profile. Abbas stated that the negotiators would discuss six issues in their meetings: Jerusalem, West Bank settlements, Palestinian refugees, borders, security and water resources. On January 28, Olmert stated that discussions over highly controversial issues, including the status of Jerusalem, would be held off until a "later phase" of negotiations.

    Progress on Road Map Implementation
    On January 28, Lt. Gen. William M. Fraser III, a U.S. Air Force general, began his directive to monitor compliance with Road Map obligations by meeting with Livni and Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak. Fraser then met with Abbas on January 29.

    Security Measures
    Gaza Crisis
    • January 18: In response to increased rocket fire from the Gaza Strip, the Israeli government closed all border crossings and temporarily suspended fuel supplies into Gaza.
    • January 23: Masked gunmen blew a series of holes in the barrier separating Egypt and Gaza, allowing Gazans to enter into Egypt. The Egyptian government has slowly undertaken efforts to secure the border and lessen the flow of people.
    • January 27: The Israeli government resumed limited shipments of fuel supplies and bare humanitarian necessities to Gaza.
    • January 28: Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmed Aboul Gheit stated that the future Egyptian-Gazan border should be controlled by Palestinian Authority President Abbas and monitored by European Union officials. Indications are that Israeli officials would not block this proposal.

    Broader Security Cooperation
    • January 25: It was reported that Israeli military cooperation with the Palestinian Authority has improved in recent months. In 2007 the number of “significant” meetings between Israeli and Palestinian officers more than doubled. In addition, a U.S. program to train Palestinian security forces is scheduled to begin this month, and is expected to graduate 2,000 security personnel in 2008. Critics, however, argue the graduation rate is too slow to significantly bolster security in the Palestinian territories. In November 2007 a strengthened Palestinian security force was deployed in Nablus and Tulkarem.

    Settlement Construction
    • January 21: Israeli officials stated that all further construction beyond the Green Line, including East Jerusalem neighborhoods, would require the direct approval of Prime Minister Olmert. Earlier this month it was reported that Barak had reached an agreement with leaders of the settlement movement to peacefully evacuate 18 outposts in the West Bank.
    • January 23: Olmert and Barak authorized the evacuation of the Migron outpost by the beginning of August.
    • January 24: It was reported that Olmert had completely frozen all new construction in West Bank settlements, including the major settlement blocs.

    Movement and Access: Despite promises by the Israeli government to reduce the number of roadblocks in the West Bank, the number of fixed barriers in 2007 increased 6%, from 528 to 563, according to a UN report released on January 22.

    Regional Efforts: Neighboring Arab countries have assisted in negotiating between Hamas and Fatah. On January 30, Egyptian President Mubarak is scheduled to meet separately with Abbas and Hamas political leader Khaled Meshal to discuss control of the Rafah border crossing between Egypt and Gaza. In addition, Saudi Arabia recently discussed the current situation in the Gaza Strip with a delegation of senior Hamas officials.

    Progress on the Palestinian Economy
    Co-chairs of the December Paris Donors’ Conference – French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner, Norwegian Foreign Minister Jonas Gahr Stoere, and Middle East envoy Tony Blair – recently pushed for further efforts by donors. The leaders highlighted improvements to the Palestinian economy since the December 17th conference, while encouraging donors to support security projects for financing equipment, infrastructure, and training of personnel.

    • January 22: The UN submitted a Consolidated Appeal plan to raise $462 million, through the work of 12 UN agencies and 28 nongovernmental organizations, for the Palestinian population. Leaders of the organizations claim that if "there is not a dramatic turnabout in the situation in the territories, the seven billion dollars the donors promised in promise will go down the drain."